The various exit and post-poll projections bring out an extraordinary feature of the 15th general election. At least three very different kinds of governments are possible as we stand a few steps from the finishing line. While different projections vary on detail and break-ups, they agree on some basic points.
One, none of the major alliances is anywhere close to a majority. None can reach the majority mark by simply adding an ally or two; the new government has to be made up of many pieces. Two, it is difficult to say with certainty which of the two big alliances, or the two big parties, will finish ahead of its rival. The race appears too close to call even at this stage, given the limitations in the information at our command. On balance though, the UPA appears to have an edge over the NDA. Three, no government can be formed without involving either the Congress or the BJP. While different polls offer different estimates for these two, they agree that together, the two big parties will control nearly 300 seats. While we cannot rule out a non- Congress, non-BJP government, it will have to depend on either the Congress or the BJP for support.
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